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UPDATE
Week ending March 9, 1997
+++ Boeing relaesed Market Forecast +++ Aerospatiale: Return to profit and stronger backlog +++ Austrian Airlines reports record in traffic performance +++ Clash on Berlin Tempelhof airport +++ Russia abandons Progress M-33 +++ ESA Council agrees on new industrial strategy +++ Rolls-Royce: Results for 1996 announced +++ News in brief +++

Boeing releases Market Forecast
Neue Marktprognosen von Boeing

According to the latest forecast of the world's leading aircraft manufacturer Boeing for the next decade, the world jetliner fleet - driven by 5,5 percent per year growth in airtravel and 6,6 percent in air cargo - is projected to grow from 11500 airplanes at the end of 1996 to nearly 17000 airplanes in 2006. Single-aisle airplanes currently make up 73 percent of the world fleet. By the end of 2006 this percentage is expected to decline to 71 percent as airlines add proportionally more intermediate-size airplanes. The percentage of those airplanes is projected to rise from 19 percent today to 21 percent in 2006. The proportion for large airplanes is expected to decline from 8,4 percent to 7,6 percent over the next decade. The average number of seats is estimated to increase from 197 to 207.
From 2006 to 2016 world air travel is projected to grow at an average of 4,3 percent anually, air cargo growth rates remain at 6,6 percent. The world fleet is projected to reach 23600 airplanes by the end of the twenty-year forecast period. By that time single-aisle airplanes are expected to represent 69,1 percent of the world fleet. The market share of intermediate-size airplanes is projected to increase to 23,5 percent and the proportion of large airplanes is expected to gradually decline to 7,4 percent. The average number of seats is estimated to further increase from 207 seats in 2006 to 219 seats in 2016.
The market value for new commercial jet airplanes over the next ten years is estimated at $ 490 billion. Airplanes the size of the 747 and larger will represent 16 percent of this dollar total, intermediate-size airplanes 41 percent and single-aisle airplanes 43 percent. Single-aisle airplanes also represent the majority of the market in terms of units. Seven out of ten deliveries over the next decade will be single-aisle models. Intermediate-size airplanes, the fastest-growing market segment, will represent two out of ten deliveries. Just one in ten airplanes, says the Boeing forecast, will be equal to or larger in size than the 747.
By 2016 the total market for new commercial jets is projected to have reached $ 1,1 trillion.
To accomodate the growth in traffic and replace capacity lost as airplanes are removed from service, the industry will require 16160 new jets.

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Aerospatiale: Return to Profit and stronger Backlog
Aufschwung bei Aerospatiale

French statedriven manufacturer Aerospatiale booked orders worth 63,3 billion Francs in 1996, compared with 1995 result (39,3 bilion Francs) a rise of 61 percent. The company booked 38,2 billion francs worth of aircraft orders, 126 percent higher than the 1995 figure of 17 billion Francs. Airbus orders increased by 176 percent, while ATR posted a 15 percent rise. Orders booked by the space and defense business, which now includes the missiles division, slipped by 15 percent from 15,5 billion Francs in 1995 to 13,3 billion Francs for the last year. Helicopter orders jumped by 72 percent to 11,8 billion Francs.
Orders booked exceeded sales by 24 percent, boosting the order backlog from 101,5 billion francs at Dec. 31st 1995 to 129,9 billion francs, equal to 2,6 years of work at Dec. 31st 1996. Orders from export markets accounted for 81,5 percent of the total. Sales posted for the past year rose by 3,6 percent to 50,9 billion francs. Overall, Aerospatiale reached a net income, excluding minority interests, of 812 million Francs, compared with a loss of 981 million Francs in 1995.

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Austrian Airlines reports record in traffic performance
Passagierrekord bei Austrian Airlines

State-owned carrier Austrian Airlines in a statement announced various traffic record figures for 1996, saying traffic performance in that year was the best in its history. Passenger figures climbed to 3,52 million, a 7,6 percent increase compared to the previous year. Scheduled services accounted for 2,9 million passengers, a 6,4 percent growth, whereas 595000 charter passengers mean a "spectacular" 14,1 percent increase. Austrian Airlines' air freight business showed a moderate 2 percent growth.

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Clash on Berlin Tempelhof airport
Streit um Schließungspläne für den Flughafen Berlin Tempelhof

A study conducted by Berlin Brandenburg Flughafen Holding (BBF) which recommends to close Berlin Tempelhof airport as soon as possible has created massive irritation among the Tempelhof serving airlines. Tempelhof airport reported 950000 passengers and a 16 million DM loss for 1996. A spokesman of the Airline Operators Comittee Tempelhof told the press the airport would have to handle 1,5 million passengers in order to become profitable. He revealed a letter from the Lufthansa Board adressed to the Major of Berlin, Eberhard Diedgen. According to the letter, Lufthansa wants Tempelhof to get closed, to transfer scheduled services to Tegel and to concentrate charter services at Schönefeld airport. The spokesman also confirmed plans of the ten airlines currently serving Tempelhof (among them Eurowings, Crossair, Sabena, Hamburg Airlines) to cease operation instead of moving to Schönefeld.

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Russia abandons Progress M-33
Rußland gibt Transportkapsel Progress M-33 auf

Russia's space station Mir is again in trouble. After the recent fire on board the ageing spaceship Progress M-33, a transport capsule, had to be given up after two unsuccessful docking maneuvers. M-33 carried important supplies among them urgently needed gas that is needed to correct the spaceship's orbit. Currently Mir flies 12 km under the limit that is needed for the next docking mission with an American space shuttle in May. To enable the crew to take the necessary corrections Progress M-34 will be launched mid-April.

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ESA Council agrees on new industrial strategy
Neue Industriepolitik von ESA-Ministerrat verabschiedet

In Paris the Council of Europe's Space Agency ESA has agreed on adapting the national industry policy strategies
  • to further accelerate the processes in decision making to secure development programmes,
  • to enable closer partnership with European industry in order to improve global competitiveness,
  • to introduce such measures that enable the optimum usage of existing industrial joint ventures
  • to create more financial flexibility in the ESA budget.
With this new policy deficits in financial backflow to the member states are to be ironed out.

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Rolls-Royce: Results for 1996 announced
Ergebnisse für 1996 bekanntgegeben

Rolls-Royce announced operating profits of 242 million pounds excluding operations to be discontinued, compared to 178 million pounds in 1995. The financial results of the company in 1996 were affected by the decision taken in July to withdraw from the large steam power generation business. After charges of 263 million pounds relating to the businesses to be discontinued (Parsons Power Generation Systems and International Combustion) a loss before tax of 28 million pounds was recorded (1995: Profit before tax: 175 million pounds). Negotiations are continuing towards achieving the sales of both companies.
Record sales of 4 billion pounds were achieved with ongoing businesses increasing by 703 million pounds. Allison accounted for 173 million pounds of the increase. Gross research and development investment increased by 7 percent to 527 million pounds, reflecting increased contributions from shared or funded engineering programs. Net research and development, charged to the profit and loss account, reduced by 7 million pounds to 199 million pounds, reflecting continued good progress on current development programs. The backlog stood at 7 billion pounds at the end of 1996 compared to 6.2 billion pounds at the end of 1995.

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NEWS IN BRIEF / KURZMELDUNGEN

One year prior to opening in 1998, a Raytheon Beech Super King Air operated by the Hong Kong Government Flying Services, has made the first landing at new Chek lap Kok airport. The landing comes amid growing uncertainty over high-level user fees proposed by the Hongkong Government. IATA fears that high airport fees will lead to substantial loss in tourism and business activities.
+++
Envisat-1 undergoes first vibration tests at ESA's ESTEC facility in Noordwijk, Netherlands. For these tests a new testplattform Hydra is being used. This all new hydraulic vibration test facility has been designed for testing large specimen, its diameter being 5.5 m. Envisat-1 is to be launched mid 1999.
+++
On March 8 a Lockheed Martin Atlas IIA rocket, designated AC-128, successfully launched the TEMPO direct broadcast satellite into geosynchronous transfer orbit from Complex 36A at Cape Canaveral Air Station (CCAS), Fla. It was the 29th consecutive successful Atlas launch from CCAS and the second Atlas launch of 1997. TEMPO was built by Space Systems/Loral at its facilities in Palo Alto, Calif. for TeleCommunications, Inc. of Littleton, Colo.
+++
With the start of its spring and summer flight schedule on March 30, Lufthansa will offer new nonstop service between Newark, N.J., and Munich.
+++
On March 6, Korean Air has taken delivery of its first A330-300 at Airbus Industrie headquarters in Toulouse, France and finalized an additional contract for the purchase of four more A330s which can be either -200s or 300s. The purchase agreement increases the airline's total firm commitments for the A330 family to 13 aircraft. The newly ordered aircraft will be delivered in 1998 and 1999. All will be powered by variants of the Pratt & Whitney PW4000 family of engines.
+++
The de Havilland Dash 8 Series 400 program has passed another milestone with the first flight of the Pratt & Whitney Canada PW 150A engine that will power the new generation 70-seat turboprop airliner. The engine and its Dowty six-bladed, all-composite propeller were recently flown for more than two hours on P&WC's Boeing 720B Flying Test Bed. The engine was operated up to 5,300 shp (full rated power for the Dash 8Q Series 400 is 5,071 shp).
+++
McDonnell Douglas has selected an airport complex at Goodyear, Ariz., near Phoenix, as a principal center for converting McDonnell Douglas DC-10 jetliners to advanced technology MD-10 cargo jets for use by Federal Express. The Douglas Aircraft Company division of McDonnell Douglas has signed a contract to do major modifications on at least 12 DC-10s for FedEx at the Goodyear site.
+++
On March 4, Russia celebrated the opening of a new launch site for satellite carrying rockets at Svobodny, Siberia, with the launch of a military Zeya-satellite carried by a modified SS-25. The new launch site is located approx. 540 miles east of Khabarovsk. With the Svobodny operation Russia hopes to be able to withdraw more activities from Baikonur, but manned space flight operations will continue out of Baikonur, Kazakhstan. An American satellite called Early Bird is supposed to be launched frm Svobodny later this year. No details are avaible.
+++
Loral Space & Communication takes over Space Systems/Loral completely. The four European partners of Loarl, holding 49 per cent of the joint venture company, will receive either cash payment or common stock and convertible preferred equivalent obligations for their 12.25 per cent stakes. So far only Daimler-Benz Aerospace goes for the cash, which will be $93 million. Aérospatiale, Alcatel Espace and Alenis Spazio opted for stock. The previous cooperation is expected to be continued.
+++
The Royal Navy aircraft carrier HMS Illustrious is on tour in the Gulf, providing FA 2 Sea Harriers for Operation Southern Watch over Iraq. It will also take part in various exercises in the region before returning to the UK in August.
+++
Finmecanica and GEC have entered into a Memorandum of Understanding to study opportunities for future technological, manufacturing and commercial collaboration between their respective defence subsidiaries, Alenia Difesa and GEC-Marconi. The two companies "recognise that the further consolidation of the European defence industry is necessary to ensure its continued efficiency and profitability", a statement said.
+++
At the beginning of March, Dornier has opened a new high-tech research facility for the processing of military photo and map data. It will aim to get the most out of the maze of IR and radar-images available nowadays and provide them to the users in a meaningfull and easy to use way.
+++

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Previous updates are still available:

PunktMarch 2, 1997

PunktFebruary 23, 1997 PunktFebruary 16, 1997

Punkt January 26, 1997 PunktJanuary 19, 1997 PunktJanuary 12, 1997 PunktJanuary 5, 1997

Punkt December 22, 1996 PunktDecember 15, 1996 PunktDecember 8, 1996 PunktDecember 1, 1996

PunktNovember 24, 1996 PunktNovember 17, 1996 PunktNovember 10, 1996 PunktNovember 3, 1996

PunktOctober 27, 1996 PunktOctober 20, 1996 PunktOctober 13, 1996 PunktOctober 6, 1996

PunktSeptember 29, 1996 PunktSeptember 22, 1996

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Copyright 1997 by Motor-Presse Stuttgart. All rights reserved.
Last updated March 9, 1997